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Future of Phone Apps and Java

A friend sent me this link to some forecasts about IT trends in the coming year. The short of it is that Big IT companies are still short sited: http://www.devx.com/wireless/Article/46231?trk=DXRSS_WEBDEV

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My friends impression is that “If the larger companies bail on it (developing phone apps), what have we got to lose? It might be a good idea to stick with.”

After I read the article. I had to agree. Oracle seems to be pillaging Java and people are moving to alternatives. For Myself, I think the future of desktop apps is JavaScript or Action-script run-time engines like Air, Mozilla or Webkit. But I really think the future of apps in general, is Ajax web clients talking to web services.

Most big corporations and institutions can’t see beyond 30 or 90 days. ¬† Anything that doesn’t payoff in a short window, they dump. This makes for a lot of opportunities for people with any kind¬† off vision.

For the article comments about Java, remember most programming is done not for the internet but for big businesses to keep track of themselves. I would say 2/3 of our development where I work, is for internal use. That is where Java has been used, for data driven internal applications and reports that are wrapped in a lot of security. It’s all turning into a big bloated beast. This is what slimmer web service based development will replace.

I think phone apps are the tip of a new floating iceberg of embedded app development for the masses. Maybe is a few years we may look at the whole idea for desktop apps as a quaint reminder of good old days past.
Anyway that is my two cents for now.

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